Bubble-Proof Investing
Declan Kennedy
| 05-01-2026
· News team
When prices skyrocket in tech stocks, electric vehicles or cryptocurrencies, it can feel like the only risk is being left behind.
Friends share screenshots, headlines cheer record highs, and sitting in plain index funds suddenly looks dull. That’s exactly the environment where bubbles thrive—and where thoughtful investors need discipline, not drama.

Bubble Basics

A market bubble forms when prices drift far above what underlying businesses can reasonably justify. Narratives, not numbers, start driving decisions: “this time is different,” “growth will be endless,” “old rules no longer apply.”
Eventually reality matters again—earnings disappoint, enthusiasm fades, and crowded trades unwind. Those who chased late often absorb the largest losses. The goal isn’t to predict the exact top; it’s to avoid structuring a portfolio that only works if optimism never cools.
Howard Marks, investor, writes, “You can’t predict. You can prepare.”

Echoes Of 2000

Today’s mood around some tech names, electric-vehicle hopefuls and digital assets resembles the late-1990s surge. Valuations in certain pockets assume years of flawless execution, generous margins and constant investor excitement.
Back then, many firms with tiny revenues and no profits carried multi-billion-dollar market values. Something similar is visible again: early-stage companies with ambitious slide decks trading at prices that already assume future dominance. The lesson from that era is simple: the internet changed everything, but not every internet stock survived.

Rethink “Hot”

A sector can be genuinely transformative and still be priced too richly for investors to earn good long-term returns. Electric vehicles, clean energy, cloud computing and similar themes likely play a big role in the future economy. That does not guarantee that today’s market leaders—or today’s prices—will justify the hype.
When expectations become extreme, even good news may not be good enough. One disappointing quarter, a delayed product, or a new competitor can deflate sentiment quickly when perfection is already in the price.

Diversify First

During a bubble, gains often cluster in a narrow slice of the market. It is tempting to crowd into whatever is working and abandon everything else. That concentration feels smart while prices rise, then painfully risky when leadership shifts.
A diversified portfolio spreads exposure across company sizes, sectors and regions: growth and value, domestic and international, technology and more traditional industries. The aim is not to own every fad, but to avoid letting any single story dictate overall results. Diversification is the quiet counterweight to bubble-era overconfidence.

Rebalance Deliberately

If a hot segment has swelled to dominate your holdings, rebalancing is a practical way to dial risk back without trying to call a top. Selling a portion of the biggest winners and adding to areas that lagged restores your original mix.
That process feels uncomfortable—trimming what has done best and buying what looks boring—but it systematically nudges behavior toward “sell high, buy lower” instead of chasing momentum. Setting simple rules (for example, rebalance when an asset class drifts 5–10 percentage points from target) removes emotion from the decision.

Limit Speculation

Completely avoiding hot themes is not always necessary. A more balanced approach is to keep them in a clearly defined “satellite” slice of the portfolio—perhaps 5% to 10% of investable assets—while the rest stays in diversified, long-term holdings such as broad index funds.
Inside that small sleeve, set personal rules: no borrowing to invest, no single position above a set percentage, and pre-planned exit levels. Treat that capital as money that could reasonably swing in value sharply without endangering core goals like retirement or education funding.

Be Wary Of Story Stocks

Some companies in fashionable spaces trade primarily on promises. They may have minimal current revenue, modest operations and ambitious projections many years into the future. In those cases, valuation is less about lining up profits and more about how much investors are willing to pay for potential.
Story-driven names can rise dramatically as enthusiasm builds, then collapse just as quickly if timelines slip or competition intensifies. When the underlying business is still a plan rather than a proven profit engine, treat the stock as a high-risk speculation, not a cornerstone investment.

Use Time, Not Timing

Bubbles remind investors how hard market timing really is. Selling everything at the “top” and buying back at the exact “bottom” sounds appealing, yet almost no one does it consistently. Far more common: selling after a scary drop, missing a sharp rebound and re-entering when headlines feel safe again.
A steadier alternative is to keep contributing on a schedule, regardless of current sentiment. Regular investments—through workplace plans or automatic transfers—buy more shares when prices are low and fewer when they are high. Over full cycles, that discipline often beats attempts to dance in and out around fast-moving narratives.

Conclusion

Stock market bubbles are easier to recognize in hindsight than in real time, but their patterns rhyme: dazzling gains, confident stories, rising concentration and growing disregard for basic valuation. The safest response is not a dramatic all-in or all-out move, but a thoughtful tightening of risk controls.
Diversifying broadly, rebalancing, capping speculative positions and committing to a long-term plan can help a portfolio survive even if popular themes eventually deflate. Small, rule-based adjustments can reduce how much your results depend on any single market story.