Best Long-Term Picks

· News team
Choosing where to park long-term money is tricky when rates, prices, and headlines swing weekly. A poll by Gallup shows real estate remains the public’s top long-term pick, gold has climbed into second place, and stocks have slid to third.
Preferences changed after a rough stretch for both housing and equities, but the reasons run deeper than one bad year.
Why It Shifted
When borrowing costs jumped and home prices cooled, sentiment toward property dipped—yet not enough to dethrone it. Meanwhile, inflation fears and volatility nudged more savers toward perceived safe havens such as gold, certificates of deposit, and high-yield savings. Stocks, after whiplash returns, lost some shine despite strong long-run math.
Real Estate
Property tops the poll at roughly a third of responses. The appeal is intuitive: tangible assets, potential appreciation, and rental income. But the numbers matter. Buying a $400,000 home with 20% down at a 6–7% mortgage rate means ~$2,000–$2,300 principal and interest monthly, before taxes, insurance, maintenance (plan 1%–2% of property value per year), and occasional vacancies if it’s an investment property. Entry costs include closing fees (often 2%–4%) and ongoing cap-ex. Returns depend heavily on local job growth and supply.
Stocks Today
Equities fell in popularity after turbulence, yet diversified stock funds historically compound wealth better than most assets over decades. The edge comes from owning businesses: rising earnings plus reinvested dividends. What spooks investors is volatility—a 20% drawdown isn’t rare. The fix isn’t abandoning stocks; it’s sizing them to your time horizon, using broad index funds with low fees, and rebalancing so you’re buying weakness and trimming strength automatically.
Gold’s Appeal
Gold gained fans as inflation and uncertainty lingered. It doesn’t produce cash flow, but it can hedge currency debasement and diversify portfolios because its drivers differ from stocks and real estate. Ways to own it: physically (bullion/coins—consider dealer premiums, storage, and insurance), via ETFs (easier, small ongoing expense), or through miners (operational and commodity risk combined). Treat gold as a risk diversifier, not a core growth engine.
Bonds & Cash
Polls also show rising interest in slower-growing, steadier options. That’s rational when cash yields improved. Short-term Treasuries, brokered CDs, and high-quality bond funds now offer meaningful yields with relatively low credit risk. For goals under five years, prioritizing principal stability over market upside is sensible; for longer horizons, bonds can cushion portfolio swings and provide dry powder to rebalance into equity dips.
Risk vs. Return
Each asset shines in a different role. Real estate couples leverage-amplified returns with concentration and liquidity risk. Stocks offer the highest expected long-term return with notable volatility. Gold diversifies shock scenarios but lacks income. Bonds stabilize and pay interest, though they face rate risk. Align roles to goals: growth for future needs, stability for near-term spending, and diversification to survive surprises.
Costs Matter
Returns arrive before fees; you keep what you don’t pay. Favor low-expense index funds for stocks and bonds (often 0.03%–0.10% annually).
John C. Bogle, an investor and author, writes, “In investing, you get what you don’t pay for.”
In real estate, underwrite all-in costs—property management (8%–10% of rent is common), maintenance, HOA dues, and taxes. With gold, compare ETF expense ratios to physical spreads and storage. Even “small” drags compound into large gaps over time.
Smart Allocation
A pragmatic long-term mix for many investors:
• 50%–70% in global stocks (blend of U.S. and international, large and small).
• 20%–40% in high-quality bonds and/or cash equivalents matched to near-term needs.
• 0%–10% in gold as a diversifier.
• Optional 0%–20% in real estate beyond your home (public REITs for liquidity, direct property if you want operational control).
Adjust inside those bands based on risk tolerance, job stability, and time horizon. Rebalance annually or when weights drift by ~5 percentage points.
Implementation
For stocks and bonds, prioritize total-market index ETFs or mutual funds for breadth and low costs. For real estate, consider starting with REITs for diversification and liquidity before leaping into a single property. If buying property, stress-test: Would cash flow still work with a 10% rent dip or a 1–2 percentage-point rate refinance shock? For gold, stick to a simple ETF unless you have a clear plan for secure storage.
Tax Placement
Put tax-inefficient assets (bond funds, REIT funds) in tax-advantaged accounts when possible. Hold broad stock index funds in taxable accounts for better tax efficiency. If you own property, track deductible expenses meticulously; small improvements in after-tax cash flow meaningfully change returns.
Behavior Rules
Decide your mix before markets get loud. Automate contributions on payday. Use a written rebalancing rule so you buy what’s down and trim what’s hot. Cap concentrated bets (a single stock, a single property, or a metal) to a small percentage so no single theme can derail your plan.
Action Steps
1) Define your primary goal (retirement, a down payment, or income).
2) Pick an allocation in the recommended bands.
3) Choose low-cost, diversified funds and/or a deliberate real estate path.
4) Automate monthly investing and set a quarterly 30-minute review to rebalance and check fees.
5) Keep a three- to six-month emergency fund to avoid forced selling.
Final Word
Public opinion shifts; good process endures. Real estate, stocks, and gold each play distinct roles, but your outcomes hinge on costs, sizing, and discipline. Rather than asking “Which single asset is best?”, ask “What mix fits my horizon, cash needs, and sleep level?” What one change—cutting fees, rebalancing, or right-sizing risk—will you make this month?